Theresa May Agrees To A ‘Vote Of Confidence’ As Brexit Plan Fails
By Paul Waugh
In 2017 she lost her majority. In 2018, she lost her authority. Tonight, she lost her Brexit plan. So, what happens next?
Within seconds of the biggest parliamentary defeat in modern history, a humiliated Theresa May announced she would agree to a vote of confidence in her own government.
But Jeremy Corbyn had already beaten her to the punch, tabling his own emergency motion to demand a general election.
The House of Commons has cleared its timetable for the emergency debate to take place all day on Wednesday, with a vote at 7pm.
And that’s just the start. There are lots of different, inter-locking outcomes. Here’s how the next few days could pan out…
Will we get a general election?
Like any leader of the opposition, Jeremy Corbyn sees a general election as his number one priority.
Under the Fixed Terms Parliaments Act, if May loses a confidence vote by a simple majority, she has two weeks to try to find enough support to form a viable government.
If she can’t, Corbyn can then try to find alliances to form his own administration. After 14 calendar days, May would face a second confidence vote and if she loses that, the UK will have another general election.
But even if the motion fails on Wednesday night, the Labour leader is perfectly free to try again at a point when he feels he can get more success.
His spokesman pointed to the 1970s when it took six confidence votes to unseat the sitting government: “There have been situations in the past where there have been no confidence votes which haven’t succeeded on the first occasion.”
The appetite among Tory MPs to think the unthinkable – triggering a general election that could damage their party – may increase if parliament looks like it is heading for a no-deal Brexit on March 29.
Time is running out, however. Under the Electoral Registration and Administration Act 2013, 25 working days are needed for an election campaign. So MPs really have until mid-February to act, if they are to hold polling day before the UK quits the EU.
In reality, an extension to Article 50 – the two-year legal timetable for Brexit – would be needed to allow more time for negotiations with the new government.
Can Brexit be stopped?
The only way Brexit can realistically be halted is if MPs either back a second EU referendum, or if there is a general election in which Labour campaigns to Remain in the EU, and wins.
Soon after the Leave result in 2016, many dismissed as ridiculous the idea that Britons could be asked to somehow re-run the referendum.
But backers of a so-called ‘people’s vote’ have stepped up a highly successful campaign since last summer, claiming that the public have a right to endorse or reject the kind of Brexit the government has finally drafted.
The campaign got its biggest ever boost when Labour adopted a new policy last September. “If we cannot get a general election, Labour must support all options remaining on the table, including campaigning for a public vote,” the policy stated.
