Three years of talks are expected to culminate in the creation of an almost $3 trillion African trade bloc on Wednesday, with the exception of one of the continent’s biggest economies.
Three regional groups on the continent — the Common Market for East and Southern Africa, the Eastern African Community and the Southern African Development Community — signed an agreement in June 2015 to create a trade bloc covering 26 countries as a precursor to the continental grouping. A week later, members of the African Union started talks for the establishment of the continent-wide free trade area.
Intra-Regional Trade
Intra-Africa trade stands at about 16 percent of the continent’s total, compared with 19 percent in Latin America and 51 percent in Asia, according to the African Union. The agreement could increase this by half for Africa, the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa estimates.
The deal could improve the region’s credit profiles, even as poor infrastructure and non-tariff barriers will continue to restrict the trade sector’s development, Moody’s Investors Service said. Countries with larger manufacturing bases and better infrastructure, such as South Africa and Kenya, are most likely to benefit from further integration, the company said.
South African Trade and Industry Minister Rob Davies said he’s is not aware of any nations that have substantive problems with the agreement.
“We have long identified that a development-integration project on the African continent that creates a single regional market is something that will support diversification and industrialization,” he said by phone. “It’s a clear signal that goes in the opposite direction to some parts of the world.”